Weekly bull losing momentum.
kenticehurst
Logical investment and trading analysis
Monday, 10 March 2014
Monday, 3 March 2014
$Gold Weekly projection 3rd March 2014
Monthly closing above $1240 indicates the bears are losing momentum.
First bullish monthly indicator since Sept 2012.
First overbought or oversold change in momentum since Sept 2011 when overbought.
$Gold accumulation now favoured.
Weekly bull still intact.
First bullish monthly indicator since Sept 2012.
First overbought or oversold change in momentum since Sept 2011 when overbought.
$Gold accumulation now favoured.
Weekly bull still intact.
Monday, 24 February 2014
Monday, 17 February 2014
Weekly projection 17th Feb 2014
Weekly and monthly Gold still in long term bear trend.
A Feb 2014 close above $1240 would indicate a possible change in the monthly trend.
Our weekly projection is a more detailed look at A and B from our previous post.
A Feb 2014 close above $1240 would indicate a possible change in the monthly trend.
Our weekly projection is a more detailed look at A and B from our previous post.
Tuesday, 11 February 2014
Double bottom or lower low to come?
Our mathematical model has three different scenarios for the future price of Gold.
For projection C to be realistic Gold must close the month of February 2014 in the region of $1240 this would validate the double bottom many favour.
A close below $1200 brings A and B in to play, currently we favour A and B as the more realistic scenarios with B being the scenario that most fits the current cyclical bear.
All our mathematical modelling suggests that when we run our most bearish scenario - projection A we still get a June 2014 low circa $925 followed by a 50% rally the following 18 months.
Please review our previous posts from March April 2013 to see which way we placed our bets prior to the big declines. Our maths allowed to go short at the most opportune time.
For projection C to be realistic Gold must close the month of February 2014 in the region of $1240 this would validate the double bottom many favour.
A close below $1200 brings A and B in to play, currently we favour A and B as the more realistic scenarios with B being the scenario that most fits the current cyclical bear.
All our mathematical modelling suggests that when we run our most bearish scenario - projection A we still get a June 2014 low circa $925 followed by a 50% rally the following 18 months.
Please review our previous posts from March April 2013 to see which way we placed our bets prior to the big declines. Our maths allowed to go short at the most opportune time.
Thursday, 4 April 2013
04/04/2013
GOLD
CHANGE IN STATUS: BEARISH 100%
ORDER TO OPEN: SELL @ $1603 -$1610 **TARGET ACHIEVED**
CURRENT OPEN POSITIONS
12 MARCH JUN13 $1300 PUT
12 MARCH JUN13 $1400 PUT
POSITIONS CLOSED
14 MARCH BUY @ $1590.82 STOP @ $1584.82
NOTES: ANTICIPATED SEVERE DECLINE POSSIBLY IN PROGRESS
BUY POSITIONS ORDERS TO OPEN WILL BE POSTED AFTER 22:30 BST EACH DAY. ALL SHORT TERM BUY POINTS WILL BE ACTED UPON DESPITE OVERALL MARKET STATUS. HOWEVER MARKET STATUS VALUE IS USED TO DETERMINE RISK ALLOCATION.
ALL DATA SUPPLIED BY GFT ALGO.
GOLD
CHANGE IN STATUS: BEARISH 100%
ORDER TO OPEN: SELL @ $1603 -$1610 **TARGET ACHIEVED**
CURRENT OPEN POSITIONS
12 MARCH JUN13 $1300 PUT
12 MARCH JUN13 $1400 PUT
POSITIONS CLOSED
14 MARCH BUY @ $1590.82 STOP @ $1584.82
NOTES: ANTICIPATED SEVERE DECLINE POSSIBLY IN PROGRESS
BUY POSITIONS ORDERS TO OPEN WILL BE POSTED AFTER 22:30 BST EACH DAY. ALL SHORT TERM BUY POINTS WILL BE ACTED UPON DESPITE OVERALL MARKET STATUS. HOWEVER MARKET STATUS VALUE IS USED TO DETERMINE RISK ALLOCATION.
ALL DATA SUPPLIED BY GFT ALGO.
Monday, 1 April 2013
APRIL 2013
GOLD
MONTHLY OPEN $1595.60
MONTHLY OPEN STATUS: BEARISH 84%
ORDER TO OPEN: SELL @ $1603 -$1610
CURRENT OPEN POSITIONS
12 MARCH JUN13 $1300 PUT
12 MARCH JUN13 $1400 PUT
14 MARCH BUY @ $1590.82 STOP @ $1584.82
NOTES: ANTICIPATED SEVERE DECLINE STILL IN PLAY ODDS REDUCED SLIGHTLY DURING MARCH.
BUY POSITIONS ORDERS TO OPEN WILL BE POSTED AFTER 22:30 BST EACH DAY. ALL SHORT TERM BUY POINTS WILL BE ACTED UPON DESPITE OVERALL MARKET STATUS. HOWEVER MARKET STATUS VALUE IS USED TO DETERMINE RISK ALLOCATION.
ALL DATA SUPPLIED BY GFT ALGO.
GOLD
MONTHLY OPEN $1595.60
MONTHLY OPEN STATUS: BEARISH 84%
ORDER TO OPEN: SELL @ $1603 -$1610
CURRENT OPEN POSITIONS
12 MARCH JUN13 $1300 PUT
12 MARCH JUN13 $1400 PUT
14 MARCH BUY @ $1590.82 STOP @ $1584.82
NOTES: ANTICIPATED SEVERE DECLINE STILL IN PLAY ODDS REDUCED SLIGHTLY DURING MARCH.
BUY POSITIONS ORDERS TO OPEN WILL BE POSTED AFTER 22:30 BST EACH DAY. ALL SHORT TERM BUY POINTS WILL BE ACTED UPON DESPITE OVERALL MARKET STATUS. HOWEVER MARKET STATUS VALUE IS USED TO DETERMINE RISK ALLOCATION.
ALL DATA SUPPLIED BY GFT ALGO.
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